Monday, May 11, 2009

For What It's Worth...

I will be leading a Investment Readiness Programme seminar on How To Do A Deal: Money, Valuations and Deal Structures on the 20th May. How do you value an asset? In simple terms, it is the discounted value of all future cash flows it can generate plus any comfort or benefit you might derive while owning it! But also if you think an asset will go up 20% from what someone else thinks it's worth today, then you might be seduced into buying it. Equally if you think it will be worth less tomorrow than it is today you would be hard pushed to buy it. Which is why macroeconomics and recessions cause all sorts of problems (at least in the short term). Particularly if the only cash an asset is going to generate is when you sell it (as with our fixation with houses as an 'investment' rather than as somewhere nice to live!).

There are all manner of ways of valuing a company and it it is instructive to see what each method comes up with, but in the end the value of an asset is what someone else is prepared to pay for it. Which begs the question is a company sold or bought? My experience is definitely the latter. I know investors want you to have an exit strategy, but it should be just that. Spending too much time too soon trying to sell something you haven't yet formulated can be counter productive. The key focus has to be creating value and reducing risks, both of which mean a higher valuation at whatever point this is crystalised.

And don't forget price is negotiable, so make sure you hone up these skills to maximise the price you get for you get for all your hard work. And remember if you are only selling part of the company, you have to work with whoever purchases equity from you so implicitly it can't be an overwealmingly good deal. Each side has to be reasonably happy with the outcome. If either side isn't just a little unhappy at the outcome it probably is a bad deal! Balancing risk and reward is what it is all about and remember the lower the risk and greater the future value is realised quicker the more you can expect to get if you sell something today. Do the sums can quickly shed some light on whether your business plan proposals have any chance of becoming a done deal.

To register for the workshop on the 20th May, click here!

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